Pagers were precursors to cell phones, there's a little screen and it buzzes but the primary purpose is just to tell you to call someone.

Hezbollah is a political party / paramilitary group in Lebanon, aligned with Iran against Israel. And Lebanon shares a border with Israel so a famously fraught relationship there and it has only gotten worse since October. They use pagers because the Israeli intelligence agency is notoriously good and they would likely hack any cell phone.

Speaking of which, Israeli intelligence planted bombs in pagers sold to Hezbollah by a 3rd party over the last 2 years, and recently detonated the bombs, killing or wounding many members of Hezbollah. Also an Iranian ambassador.

What the Trump campaign thinks it's doing: keeping the conversation on immigration, making a photo op in a city at the center of the conversation.

What the Trump campaign is actually doing: keeping the conversation on Trump's lunatic false claims, spending time campaigning in a state he won by 8 points last time.

He voted for Trump. Not a ton of Democrats do that. Call me crazy but while I'd assume someone who ends up attempting assassination doesn't like the person they attempt assassinating, that doesn't mean they are automatically a member of the opposing political party. 1/3rd of Americans are independents.

If it becomes a democratic majority of the US who has attempted to assassinate the guy, it would be right to listen to them about who should be president. But not because of the assassination thing.

Guys, I hate to be controversial here, but maybe we can't extrapolate anything valuable about politicians based on two incidents of attempted assassination. I don't care about the opinions of these two crazy guys.

Yeah that's not even enough for me to know if it's controversial. I, also, think SCOTUS will have different opinions on separation of powers.

This sort of story is dumb. Is that really the reason you wouldn't vote for someone? There must be more compelling points. So who is this for?

I think it's just circle-jerky "the team I hate also smells icky" stuff, like when Alex Jones said Obama and Hillary literally smelled like sulfur.

Not everything has to be 18D chess. Maybe they just hate Trump.

Once I saw a raccoon poop and I was like "no way raccoons poop that big" but this does tell another story.

This thought terminating cliche is used on the right as well. It makes no sense (so...Trump is the one who "became black?") and just exists so people can reinforce their world view uncritically.

If you have an opinion, back it up with evidence and say that.

Give a man a raise and you feed him for one year. Teach a man to unite for regular raises and good benefits and you'll feed him for the rest of his life.

Eyyyyy waddup?

It's just memes broken out by who was under 30 when they became popular.

It's actually kind of smart for the presidential campaign to push for a government shutdown. Republicans will get blamed, but not Trump specifically.

And everyone looks bad in a shutdown to median voters. The immediate reaction is "just make a deal" which means Biden-Harris admin looks bad too...not as bad as Congressional Republicans but also bad, surely there are people who will (incorrectly) not think Voter ID laws are important enough for all this fuss either way.

Of course, the problem is that the Trump team are being too obvious with it so they WILL be blamed if it happens, now.

Same thing happened with the border bill...would have been genius if it failed without Trump meddling.

I don't think she started it. Very well could have popularized it.

Still gross to make that accusation about someone as reprehensible as Loomer. And it let's Trump off the hook. She's not traveling with him because of sexual favors, she's traveling with him because he supports her insane views.

I feel like the British way should always be phrased like "first floor up" or "third floor up" because then you count starting at zero. American way should be phrased as "the first floor" or "the fourth floor."

I think it will, but people won't think it did. Harris was dropping slightly in the polls, Polymarket odds were up to 52/46 Trump. The betting markets being the most responsive item to check, it's currently 50/49 Trump, back to tied. I think polls will look similar, back to essentially tied, but that's where things were a couple weeks ago so it might just erase the mini slump from everyone's mind.

I liked her hit single Chalupitating.

Feels like it's more xenophobic. Obviously one assumes many of the referenced people are brown, but they are assumed poor too and we aren't saying it's classist. The thing that unites all of the people implicated in the claim is that they are foreigners.

This article is written monthly and read exclusively by people who agree with it. Not sure the purpose of it.

The CEO was just conspicuously spotted with one of these a couple weeks ago, looks like it was a marketing scheme as we suspected.

I'm just talking about the general concept of a wealthy benefactor being the reason X person a commenter doesn't like does anything or has any success. It's a mental crutch because people can't fathom large swaths of Americans who just disagree with them, they need it to be a conspiracy for some reason.

This feels like the Leftist version of a George Soros conspiracy. Why can the answer not be that JD Vance himself thinks the election was stolen? Maybe JD Vance himself is weird?

It's raising a minimum wage.

He's a paid something or other for them, why?

So annoying that Democrats propose something, the Republican majority opposes and entirely quashes it, and the "take" is that we should blame Democrats for not getting it done.

Republicans control the House and even if they didn't, there is nothing close to a majority vote of the House that want to impeach members of SCOTUS.

It's a chance of winning, not a poll, so 64% is high but not insane. Silver is serious and it's a decent model. Knowing the model there's a pretty good chance this is a high point for Trump but it's not like he's pulling this out of nowhere, he has had similar models every election cycle since like 2008.

If it's overstaying Trump it's because his model is interpreting the data incorrectly because of the weirdness of this election cycle. I personally think that is likely the case here.

I suspect Harris got her "convention bounce" (as defined by the model) right when she became the nominee, this made the model think she was overperforming pre-convention and now the bounce is fading "early" when the model thinks she should still have it so it seems like she's underperformed.

If this is the theory, knowing how close the swing states are and thus how swingy it can be, most likely this number goes back to maybe 55/45 Trump.

Reminds me of my time as an elephant mohel.

I saw a bird in an airport.

We can go faster than sound that's what a sonic boom is.

I read the link and saw the numbers. Is there a deeper link that disproves something I said?

If it goes down in value at the same rate as the last month or something, it'll be ~$1 billion at the end of September. I forget the exact math but something like that.

Trump can sell his 115 million shares on September 25th, everyone trying to get out before that happens.

Absolutely wild campaign finance workaround though. If he sells it all he's still on track to get $1 billion or so. That's his personal wealth, which can be contributed without limit to his campaign.

I'm highly suspicious of the results, as you should always be when a group with a stated political goal releases a poll that shows their favored political goal is what a politician should do.

You have to think there was bias in the presentation, eg the question was framed particularly softly like "if Kamala announced she would abide by current US law including the Leahy Law suspending arms shipments until there is a ceasefire which would save the lives of civilians on both sides" or whatever....that is all 100% true and consistent with what they're saying, but in real life if she did that she'd get millions of dollars of negative ads framing the decision differently.

Or maybe they just ran the poll 5 times and didn't release the others because this one was the best result for them. That doesn't make it an illegitimate poll, but it makes it more likely that the numbers are the high end of the potential benefit from such a stance.

One other way this poll could be true but misleading is that maybe this declaration brings her from 44% to 49%, but it puts Trump from 40% to 51%. Or whatever. It's possible that with no clarity, she goes from 44% to 52% because you can't literally vote undecided, and the 49% number is actually her doing worse than she would have.

I wonder who Dan Quayle is voting for

It's wild how much the slowness of the judicial system distorts society. Rich people delay forever and evade punishment...this was a crime from 2016, 8 years ago, he was found guilty in May and won't even get his sentence until late November, let alone start serving it.

But, this is also a cause of some of the major issues at the Southern border. The immigration system is so bogged down that it can't process the volume, judges are doing bulk decisions with seconds reading each case, people are being released into the US until their case can be heard which can be a long time, and that process is so politically toxic that both parties have switched to flatly illegal methods of rejecting legal asylum seekers or other legal immigrants.

I'm not a legal expert but can we get some proposals to speed this all up? Do we just dump resources at it, get more judges so they can have fewer cases? Change the laws? Something needs to happen here.

It is still a ball.

It's Hand Ball.

And Handball, well really that's a FUTure sport. We'll call it...Futball!